News With Views By Steven Yates
“It’s the economy, stupid.” —James Carville
If you were to ask me today who is more likely to win next month’s election, my answer is going to be the same as Tucker Carlson’s a few months back: I don’t know.
I can make an educated guess at the factors that will determine the outcome, though, perhaps in light of any October surprises we haven’t seen yet.
If voters are revved up in favor of the death culture — pro-abort (“women’s reproductive freedoms”), pro-Zionist (favoring a society whose snipers shoot children in the head for sport), or prowar generally (more taxpayer dollars to Ukraine and Israel), then Kamala Harris will win.
If they’re looking at the economy in terms of their own situations, then Donald Trump will win.
A recent article in the leftist British periodical The Guardian helps us nail down the thinking of the latter, whatever the author’s intensions.
Aditya Chakrabortty writes: “This is the future for Kamala Harris: unless she solves this economy mystery, Trump wins,” the article repeats the contention coming from all the elites that the economy has never been better. She writes, citing Mark Zandi of Moodys as authority and summarizing: “Growth: up. Jobs: up. Wages: rising. The value of your home: up. Share prices: booming. Inflation: falling. Borrowing rates: dropping.”
Elites like Zandi say: it’s in the numbers, that “this is among the best performing economies in my 35+ years as an economist.”
But the public isn’t “feeling it.” Asked the Great Question of the Reagan era, “Are you better off than you were four years ago?” most Americans would say No…
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