How did we get to lockdown and did it save lives? Will a future pandemic trigger another lockdown? We’re told Santa Clara County (SCC)’s public health director (DPH) Dr. Sara Cody convinced six other Association of Bay Area Health Officers (ABAHO) to order shelter in place (SIP) mandates in a single day, which triggered the first U.S. lockdown. These health officers describe their decision-making in “Crisis Decision-making at the Speed of COVID19,” giving us insight to their thoughts and rationale.
What happened? According to the paper, “decision intelligence” begins with tackling the right problem to solve– if the primary problem is “insufficient hospital beds will cause unnecessary deaths,” then increasing hospital bed capacity solves the problem. Apparently, “Two weeks to flatten the curve” was a ruse. Their cited primary problem was “uncontrolled community transmission” and their solution was to increase countermeasures to control transmission. Cody explains that “a proven way to slow the transmission is to limit interaction among people to the greatest extent practicable” and asymptomatic spread means limiting gatherings since “gatherings result in preventable transmission.”
In their hurry to “control transmission” they abandon SMART (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-Bound) goals, which my kids created at the start of every school year from kindergarten to 8th grade? If my 8th grader had made his year’s goal to achieve “Zero Covid,” his teacher would request he choose an Achievable goal. Historically, no highly-transmissible respiratory RNA virus had ever been “controlled.” Once your goal is Achievable, you must define a Measurable benchmark, establish Relevance between the countermeasures and goal, and Time-Bound benchmarks to validate completion. The ABAHO members also questioned the goal’s Achievable status by acknowledging that “the efficacy of face masks, physical distancing, and increased ventilation as prevention countermeasures had not been established yet. Nevertheless, they push forward while ”there were too many unknowns, high stakes consequences, and no time for further deliberation.”
Read Full Article Here…(americanthinker.com)
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