Военное обозрение By Topwar
American experts predict the onset of another 30-year supercycle in the world economy in the very near future.
Bloomberg published a forecast based on the so-called “Kondratiev waves” – a concept developed by a Soviet scientist, according to which the global economy is assumed to be cyclical. Each cycle lasts about 30 years and is divided into two periods, during the first of which there is an increase in prices for raw materials, and during the second there is a stable recession.
According to the forecasts of American economists, a new cycle, during which prices for raw materials will grow, will begin on June 30 this year. Based on their analysis, the authors of a Bloomberg article analyzed their spot commodity price index charts, according to which the commodity index showed growth throughout the first half of the 1990s, as a result of which it peaked in 2008, after which it began to fall to values that noted in the early 1990s.
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