By æłąćŁ«éĄżäșæè±ććș – Himalaya May FlowerÂ
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) virus is really like a paper tiger or a political virus, that will break if you poke it. It just depends on whether you poke it or not!
It has been more than a year since the CCP virus became a global pandemic. The number of confirmed diagnoses and deaths worldwide continue to climb. To date, more than 29 million cases of the CCP virus have been diagnosed in the United States, including nearly 400,000 deaths. It seems that the entire world has been completely torn apart because of this epidemic. Some pessimistic people say we will never go back to the old days.
Do human beings really have to be stuck at home, wear masks when meet, and maintain social distancing forever? Author is cautiously optimistic, believing that humans can completely defeat the CCP virus. It is only a matter of time, and it depends on the governmentâs coping policy. The CCPâs attempt to use this virus to intimidate and blackmail the world will surely fail. In fact, I think the CCP virus may be a paper tiger, or some kind of CCP political virus.
Based on more than a year of experience fighting against CCP virus and the medical literature, termination of CCP virus is technically completely feasible. There exist longstanding inexpensive drugs that could be repurposed, such as hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin. No medical personnel are even needed at all. Â What is not in place is the pandemic prevention strategy. All we needed is for hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin to be made available as over-the-counter medication while synchronizing their administration nationwide, e.g.: making it mandatory for every citizen to take the drugs for 1-2 months. The problem now is that certain hospitals, elite doctors, and pharmaceutical companies may want this CCP virus to be prevalent (so they can make profit from it), and ignorant or compromised political leaders, and government sectors do not act, or even act haphazardly, such as the FDA, NIH, and CDC.
Technically speaking, effective preventive and early treatment drugs which are safe and inexpensive are right there waiting for you to use. As long as there is an executive order that require every citizen to take medication for 1-2 months, the epidemic should be over.
Three elements of infectious diseases: source of infection, route of transmission and susceptible population
Theoretically, any infectious disease can be solved by taking care of one of the three elements.
The CCP virus is a biological weapon with the Zhoushan bat coronavirus as its backbone. The reason why this pandemic is so difficult to control is that each of those three elements are difficult to control.
First, CCP virus pandemic has a R0 (basic reproduction number) value as high as 5.7. R0 in epidemiology tells you the average number of people who will contract a contagious disease from one person with that disease. It specifically applies to a population of people who were previously free of infection and havenât been vaccinated. Second, everyone is susceptible, with an incubation period of up to 14 days, and there are a large number of asymptomatic virus carriers. Third, the mortality rate is not too high, and most of the deaths are elderly people or patients with underlying diseases. A low mortality rate is very conducive to a pandemic.
Let me talk about susceptible people first. The susceptible population and the distribution of the infected population are mainly elderly people, but all age groups are involved. It has been reported that the youngest was only 45 months old. Therefore, everyone is susceptible, from infants to the elderly, men and women, strong and weak. Thatâs how a biological weapon is designed.
Letâs talk about controlling the source of infection. The source of infection refers to people and animals that grow and reproduce viruses in their bodies and can shed pathogens. In laymanâs terms, it is a carrier of a pathogen that can live and reproduce and can see the opportunity to transfer its offspring to other people or animals. Isolation of patients is one way to control the source of infection. Strict home isolation of patients with mild symptoms can effectively control the source of infection. Will controlling the source of infection succeed? Theoretically, it can work and solve the problem. However, the actual situation is often more complex, and it is difficult to completely control the source of infection. We know that the disease has a long incubation period (14 days, with some studies also finding up to 37 days), which means that during this time, carriers of the virus are asymptomatic and unrecognized, and are not treated as a source of infection, let alone controlled. From the time a patient carries the virus to the time he is diagnosed, he lives a normal life, going to work or school from 9 to 5, going to the grocery store, meeting with friends, singing Karaoke, watching movies etc. How many people did he contact during this period, and how many people he contacted contact? It is impossible to seek to isolate everyone through analyzing of the trajectory of his activities, tracing the people he contacted and the ones they contacted. In this global village, it is alleged that you can get to know any other person in the world through only 6 people, and the virus will also take this ride. Therefore, to control the source of infection, we can only do our best, but it is impossible to control it perfectly.
And then there are the transmission routes. Transmission routes include droplet transmission (from the source of infection through coughing, sneezing, spitting, secretions and droplets discharged during conversation), aerosol transmission (also called droplet nuclear transmission), contact transmission (for example, hands contact with the discharge of the infectious source of secretions, by touching the eyes, mouth and nose, etc., can lead to pathogens entering the body), etc. Because there are a large number of asymptomatic sources of infection, trying to thoroughly control the route of infection by wearing masks and gloves is impossible to do perfectly.
A vaccine to end the CCP virus pandemic? The ideal is promising, the reality is bleak!
Viral vaccines are now being pushed around the world. The question is will the vaccines work? Will they end the pandemic? Theoretically, a vaccine should be the most effective way to end a pandemic. But the problem is it is difficult to have an effective vaccine in the short term. It takes a long time to develop and produce vaccines, and it is extremely irresponsible to inject vaccines that have not been strictly clinically tested. Coronavirus is RNA virus, with an unstable double helix structure, therefore, rapid base mutations are one of its characteristics. So far, humans have never successfully developed a vaccine for a RNA virus. There are now at least three variants of the CCP virus, all of which make transmission faster. The three variants published on the CDC website are [1]
- B.1.1.7Â comes from the United Kingdom. This variant entered the United States in January 2021. Mortality increased after infection.
- B.1.351Â is from South Africa. This variant was introduced into the U.S. in January 2021. Studies have shown that Modernaâs mRNA-1273 vaccine has limited efficacy against this variant.
- P.1: From Brazil. This variant was introduced in the United States in January 2021. Studies have shown that antibody therapies or vaccines have limited effect on this variant.
The mutation rate of the virus far exceeds the rate of vaccine development. Therefore, expecting vaccines to end the pandemic is likely to be unsuccessful and a waste of money!
Herd immunity (group immunity) was once counted on. Herd immunity is the resistance of a population group to an infection. A high level of herd immunity indicates a high percentage of the population that are resistant to infection. But the possibility of a disease epidemic depends not only on the number of resistant individuals in the population group, but also on the frequency of contact between individuals in the group. The proportion of the population that needs to be immunized in order to obtain herd immunity varies from disease to disease. Taking measles as an example, âherd immunityâ against measles requires approximately 95% of the population to be vaccinated. For polio, this threshold is about 80%. For the CCP virus, some estimate the threshold is at least 80%-90%.
Another approach that has been proposed is to take the approach of allowing the disease to infect the population to obtain herd immunity. Herd immunity is achieved by exposing people to the virus so that most people get the disease. At the beginning of 2020, the policy makers and official health consultants of the British government initially proposed a herd immunity strategy which allowed the virus to spread freely among the population in the hope that enough people could develop their own immunity to naturally contain or control the spread of the virus. In fact, the result of such an approach was a spike in deaths directly or indirectly caused by the epidemic, a strategy that the British government later had to abandon in favor of more stringent control measures.
When the British epidemic could not be controlled, when the herd immunization strategy was stopped in due time, the Swedish government still insisted on using a non-quarantine, public consciousness means to control it, hoping that the country could achieve herd immunity through infection. However, the number of deaths in Sweden is several times that of neighboring countries, and until the end of 2020, herd immunity has not been formed, and the death toll remains high. The King of Sweden has admitted that the fight against the epidemic has failed.
Another typical case is Manaus, the capital city of Amazonas state, Brazil, where the outbreak has not been effectively controlled since it began, with 66% of the population infected by June. By last October, the virus had infected 76% of the population, yet the city still had not developed a herd immunity effect, and the virus was still spreading rapidly with no signs of slowing down [2]. What is interesting is that after most people were infected in Manaus, the incidence rate dropped. It seems that herd immunity was taking effect, but after only 5-6 months, there was a major outbreak. One possibility is that the antibodies have disappeared. Another is that a new variant of the virus has appeared.
This evidence suggests that achieving herd immunity by exposing the population to the virus is unrealistic and has serious consequences, which would result in a large proportion of the population becoming infected with the virus and thousands of people dying. This shows that the use of vaccines to fight the epidemic is not optimistic, and it is even more impractical to allow the virus to wreak havoc to achieve group immunity.
(To be continued)
Reference link:
[1]Â https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
[2] Sabino E.C. et al. Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, Despite High Seroprevalence. Lancet. 2012 397,10273
