By TrialSite News
Professor Christof Kuhbandner, at the University of Regensburg in Germany, and Professor Matthias Reitzner, at Osnabrück University in Germany, published “Regional patterns of excess mortality in Germany during the COVID-19 pandemic: a state-level analysis” in Royal Society Open Science in September.
Using actuarial life-table methods and population-adjusted expected-death modeling, the authors examined excess mortality across Germany’s 16 federal states from April 2020 to March 2023 to determine which factors — COVID-19 infections, deaths, vaccination rates, demographics or policy — best explain mortality patterns.
Their most controversial finding: in the third pandemic year, excess mortality rose sharply while COVID-19 deaths declined, creating a statistical decoupling that correlated positively with vaccination rates, even after adjusting for prior-year mortality.
While no causation is established, the correlations are nonetheless troubling…
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