The first instances of this shift seen nationally occurred undoubtedly after the 2016 election. Dona
townhall.com 
By Matt Vespa
The first instances of this shift seen nationally occurred undoubtedly after the 2016 election. Donald Trump clinched an upset win over Hillary Clinton, primarily due to depressed Democratic Party turnout in crucial counties and a surge of rural and working-class voter support for Donald Trump. Also, Clinton was not well-liked by voters. The white working-class revenge was enough to shatter the blue wall in the Rust Belt. This voter bloc numbers in the tens of millions, so slight changes could have a severe ripple effect in national elections. Obama got a healthy share of these voters—around 35-40 percent—which was more than enough to win.
Since 2016, the white working-class voter drift into the GOP has increased. Non-white working-class voters are starting to follow, which should concern Democrats, who have been cleaning up with college-educated voters and women. Women are a mighty force in elections, but their voting patterns are split among married and unmarried. With labor unions, black, Hispanic, and now Muslim voters drifting away from Biden—they’re all undoubtedly unenthused by him—the rich college kids and suburbanite chardonnay drinkers aren’t enough to carry Biden over the top.
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