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Invest 94L could develop into tropical depression while forecasters continue tracking Caribbean disturbance

By Steven Yablonski

 

One area being watched closely is located over the central Atlantic Ocean and has been designated Invest 94L, while the second area of disturbed weather is centered over the western Caribbean Sea.

MIAMI – We may be getting closer to the end of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, but the tropics remain active as forecasters monitor two areas of disturbed weather that could develop into tropical systems.

One area being watched closely is located over the central Atlantic Ocean and has been designated Invest 94L, while the second area is located in the western Caribbean Sea.

Will Invest 94L impact Florida?

This graphic shows the latest with Invest 94L in the central Atlantic Ocean.
(FOX Weather)


Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Invest 94L remains over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean and is a broad area of low pressure that has been producing disorganized precipitation and thunderstorms.

“The disturbance still has a reasonably well-defined but broad circulation,” says FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross. “But dry air has not allowed thunderstorms to organize and persist, which in turn would tighten the circulation – the requirements for the tropical depression designation.”

The NHC said Invest 94L is expected to generally move off to the west to west-northwest, and environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive for gradual development toward the end of the week.

That’s when the NHC says the system could develop into a tropical depression as it moves near the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands late this week.

“On the current schedule, the disturbance will be near or north of Puerto Rico and the nearby islands about Friday, then slowly continue to the west toward the southeastern Bahamas or perhaps near Haiti or eastern Cuba,” Norcross said. “It’s not clear that the system will be identifiable by that time, but it will draw tropical moisture over the mountainous islands, bringing the possibility of flooding and mudslides.”

If you plan to travel to popular warm-weather destinations such as Puerto Rico or the USVI, you’ll want to monitor the forecast.

For the millions of people in Florida still recovering from back-to-back major hurricanes, Helene and Milton, Invest 94L doesn’t appear to be impacting the Sunshine State at this time.

“There is no threat to Florida or the southeastern U.S., but everyone on the northeastern Caribbean islands should stay informed just to be sure the disturbance doesn’t misbehave,” Norcross said…

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