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Early voting is wrapping up in two must-win special elections in Florida, and the numbers are giving both parties reason to watch closely ahead of election day on Tuesday. The contests in Florida’s 1st and 6th Congressional Districts—previously held by prominent Republicans Matt Gaetz and Michael Waltz—have drawn national attention, especially as Democrats attempt to make inroads in traditionally conservative strongholds.
In the 1st District, Republican Jimmy Patronis, Florida’s Chief Financial Officer and a Trump-endorsed candidate, is up against Democrat Gay Valimont, who previously ran against Gaetz in 2024. Despite the district’s deep red lean, Democrats are banking on energy from grassroots fundraising and a low-turnout environment to potentially close the gap.
According to figures from the Florida Division of Elections, Republicans hold a sizable 17-point advantage in early vote turnout in the 1st District—a sign that Patronis remains in a commanding position heading into election day…
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