Trending Politics Conservative News and Commentary By Chris Powell
A recent poll from Pennsylvania’s crucial bellwether counties, Erie and Northampton, spells trouble for Vice President Kamala Harris as she struggles to gain traction in this must-win state. With less than a month until Election Day, former President Donald Trump leads by a narrow margin, signaling a shift in these historically predictive regions.
The Cygnal poll, conducted from September 30 to October 1, shows Trump with a slight edge, 49% to Harris’s 48%, among likely general election voters. It’s a slim lead, but one that comes with bigger implications for Harris’s campaign. In a reversal from 2020, these counties, which backed Trump in 2016 before flipping to Joe Biden in 2020, are now swinging back to the GOP. The change comes with concerns over the economy and immigration rise.
Key insights from the poll indicate Trump’s appeal as the candidate best suited to address the country’s challenges. By a 49-46 margin, voters in these counties believe Trump’s policies are more beneficial for people like them. Trump’s favorability rating, sitting at -4, is less underwater than Harris’s -8, indicating that the former president’s image among swing voters is more resilient. Notably, men under 55 years of age favor Trump by a striking 24-point margin, while Harris struggles with a 36-point net unfavorable rating in the same demographic.
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