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If the election for governor of New York were held today, there’s a very good chance that the state’s most MAGA congresswoman would defeat Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul.
That’s the indication in a new poll out this week pitting Hochul against Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), the proud proselytizer of President Donald Trump’s agenda who last month withdrew from consideration to serve as the administration’s U.N. ambassador. Ever a team player, Stefanik went along with the desires of Trump and U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) to stay in her seat and help secure the GOP’s razor thin majority.
But if the 2026 map of favorable House seats were to expand, Stefanik — who has indicated she’s interested in moving on from Congress — would immediately top the polls against Hochul.
Only 43% of New Yorkers said they would vote to reelect Hochul compared to 42% who sided with Stefanik, a disastrous result for the Democratic incumbent who took over from disgraced Andrew Cuomo in 2023. About 15% of likely voters are undecided, according to the right-leaning survey on a hypothetical 2026 race.
And if the GOP field for governor becomes crowded, Stefanik would hold the edge: 56% of GOP primary voters opted for the congresswoman over lesser-known alternatives like Mike Lawler (R-NY) and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, both said to be mulling bids. Each received 9% and 8%, respectively.
Just 30% hold a favorable opinion of Hochul, while 57% disapproved, the poll of 1,163 voters found. President Trump fared much better, receiving 44% favorable opinions and 49% unfavorable…
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