by John Seiler
Commentary
Despite speculation of Republicans regaining the partyâs majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2022, they may find it tough to maintain their 11 congressional seats from California. Democrats have a good chance of increasing their total from the current 42, although the state will lose one seat, from 53 to 52.
Thatâs because the nonpartisan California Citizens Redistricting Commissionâs new map, according to FiveThirtyEight, âcreates 41 Democratic-leaning seats, seven Republican-leaning seats and four highly competitive seats. ⊠Notably, despite being drawn by an independent commission, all of the maps are moderately biased toward Democrats, according to our fairness metrics.â
The Commission finalized the maps late Dec. 20. Hereâs my analysis of the data…