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Michelle Obama Favorite To Replace Joe Biden if He Drops Out

By James Bickerton

Michelle Obama is the most likely candidate to replace Joe Biden as the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee should the incumbent step down before the election according to a leading bookmaker, despite the former first lady not having launched a White House bid.

Betting company Betfair is currently offering odds of 4/9, or 69 percent, on Biden being the Democratic nominee in November. The 81-year-old president has already won Democratic primaries in New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada and is only being challenged by fringe figures from within his own party.

However, concerns about Biden’s health, strengthened by a series of recent gaffs, have triggered speculation over whether he could end up stepping down from the contest, and if so, who would be the favorites to replace him.

Betfair has Obama as the second most favored 2024 Democratic presidential nominee with odds of 8/1, or 11 percent, making her the highest performing alternative to Biden. She is followed by California Governor Gavin Newsom on 12/1 (7.7 percent), Vice-President Kamala Harris with 15/1 (6.3 percent), Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer on 74/1 (1.3 percent), Senator Elizabeth Warren on 79/1 (1.3 percent) and Hillary Clinton with 94/1 (1.1 percent).

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