Trending Politics Conservative News and Commentary By Cullen McCue
Former President Donald Trump has retained a massive lead in election guru Nate Silver’s first 2024 election forecast released after the ABC News presidential debate, which could very well be the only debate between Trump and Harris before November.
After Harris gained a slight lead on the heels of a massive enthusiasm boost among Democrats following President Biden’s decision to suspend his re-election campaign, Trump was able to regain and expand his lead in Silver’s forecast in August.
As of September 6, Silver was giving Trump a 60.1% chance of winning the Electoral College, a dramatic increase from just a few weeks prior. Silver, who evaluates variables such as response bias when fitting recent polls into his model, had Trump up in a number of key swing states as well, especially Pennsylvania.
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