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The Biggest Migration Since the Barbarian Invasions of Rome

By Doug Casey

 

International Man: Former Libyan leader Muammar Ghaddafi once warned that “Europe runs the risk of turning black from illegal immigration… it could turn into Africa.”

Since the United States and NATO helped overthrow Ghaddafi in 2011, millions of migrants from Africa and the Middle East have poured into Europe. Many transited from Libya.

This is all well known, and all signs point to this trend accelerating. What’s your take on where this is going?

Doug Casey: It’s a pity Ghaddafi was taken out. Not that he was a nice guy—no one running an artificially constructed nation-state is. But at least it was a stable situation. Libya is still on the map, but it’s been replaced by at least two new rump states, after a bloody and costly civil war. Another disastrous US policy decision. Nice work by Hillary and Obama.

But let’s talk about Africa at large. Africa, or at least migration out of Africa, is going to be one of the world’s big stories for the rest of this century.

Africa has gone from being just an empty space on the map in the 19th century, to a bunch of backwater colonies in the 20th century, to a bunch of chaotic failed states that most people are only vaguely aware of today. Soon, however, it will be continuing front-page news. That’s because Chinese are moving to Africa in record numbers while Africans are leaving as fast as they can.

What we’re looking at is the biggest migration since the barbarian invasions of the Roman Empire. Millions of Africans are trying to get into Europe. I don’t know how the Europeans will keep them out. I used to say Europe was going to be a petting zoo for the Chinese, but it may be more of a squatter’s camp for the Africans.

Africa is the only part of the world where the population is still growing rapidly. Africa south of the Sahara was about 6% of the world’s population in the ’50s; now, it’s about 20%. By the turn of the century, the UN projects it will be 45%—assuming there isn’t some kind of catastrophe. That’s because it’s unclear whether Africans can grow enough food for billions more people.

In fact, if the West stops supporting the continent with capital and technology, it could be in for very tough times. That’s in addition to lots of wars fought with modern weapons, not just machetes, like those that killed over 500,000 in Rwanda a generation ago…

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