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The Mullahs’ Miscalculation

They thought the Ummah would rally. It recoiled.

The Islamic Republic of Iran certainly had enough notice that it was headed to war, given the sheer magnitude of American military buildup — the largest in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, which included the deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln to the Arabian Sea on January 26, while the USS Gerald R. Ford was stationed off the coast of Israel. Add in eleven defense destroyers and several cruisers and support vessels positioned in the region. The Iranian regime did not react to American and Israeli strikes with calculated strategy and precision, but with miscalculated bluster.

When strikes came raining down on Saturday, Iran’s retaliation was swift. As expected, the Islamic Republic fired on Israel as it had vowed to do, and launched ballistic missiles against U.S. bases in several Gulf countries. Iran apparently did not expect backlash, however, from its Sunni Arab neighbors. On January 20, Iran’s parliamentary national security commission had declared that any attack on the country’s supreme leader “would amount to a declaration of war on the Muslim world.” With Khamenei dead, instead of support from its Muslim neighbors, Iran drew fury from them as it unleashed attacks against American targets inside Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates. These countries confirmed they had intercepted Iranian missiles. Gulf states proceeded to close their airspace to Iran, while Saudi Arabia voiced a right to defend itself. “Saudi Arabia says reserves right of response after Iran attacks Riyadh, east,” Al Arabiya, February 28, 2026:

Saudi Arabia confirmed Saturday that Iran hit Riyadh and its eastern region with strikes, warning it reserved the right to defend itself including by retaliating.

Saudi Arabia “expressed its strongest condemnation of the blatant and cowardly Iranian attacks targeting the Riyadh and Eastern Province regions, which were repelled,” the foreign ministry said in a statement.

Read Full Article Here… | FrontPage Mag

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