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How ultralow frictional healing could help predict large earthquakes

BY THE WATCHERS

 

A new study published in the journal Science could be a game-changer in the field of seismology, as researchers have discovered a potential missing piece in the puzzle of predicting earthquakes. The study suggests that ultralow frictional healing, a common physical phenomenon, could be crucial in understanding when and how violently faults move. While it wonā€™t enable scientists to forecast the next big earthquake, it could be a valuable new way to investigate the causes and potential for large, damaging earthquakes.

The study suggests that ultralow frictional healing could help explain recurring slow slip events and aid in understanding when and how violently faults move.

Slow slip events, also known as aseismic slip or silent earthquakes, are a type of fault movement that occurs slowly and steadily over days or weeks, in contrast to the abrupt and irregular movement that characterizes an earthquake. These events have been observed in several subduction zones around the world, including New Zealandā€™s Hikurangi margin.

 

 

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